"A personality is a full congress of orators and pressure groups, of children, demagogues, communists, isolationists, war mongers, mugwumps, grafters, prayer-makers, adventurers and clerks; with each of these in a minority of one."
The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios... The idea that you can actually predict what's going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.