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大卫·G·卢恩伯格
决策分析与风险管理领域的权威学者
大卫·G·卢恩伯格是斯坦福大学管理科学与工程系教授,专注于决策分析与风险管理研究,其著作在该领域具有广泛影响力。
Optimization is the art of making the best possible choice under given constraints.
优化是在给定约束条件下做出最佳选择的艺术。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
The value of information lies in its ability to reduce uncertainty and improve decision-making.
信息的价值在于其减少不确定性和改进决策的能力。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
A good decision is one that is based on the best available information and made with a clear understanding of the trade-offs involved.
一个好的决策是基于现有最佳信息,并在清楚理解所涉及的权衡后做出的。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
The essence of decision analysis is to break down complex decisions into simpler, more manageable components.
决策分析的本质是将复杂的决策分解为更简单、更易管理的组成部分。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
The goal of engineering is not just to build things but to build things that work well under uncertainty.
工程的目标不仅仅是建造东西,而是建造在不确定性下运作良好的东西。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
A model is a simplified representation of reality, but its value lies in its ability to provide insights that are not immediately obvious.
模型是对现实的简化表示,但其价值在于它能够提供不立即显而易见的见解。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
Risk management is not about eliminating risk but about understanding it and making informed choices.
风险管理不是消除风险,而是理解风险并做出明智的选择。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
The essence of decision analysis is to decompose a complex problem into simpler components, analyze each component, and then synthesize the results to reach a conclusion.
决策分析的本质是将复杂问题分解为更简单的组成部分,分析每个部分,然后综合结果得出结论。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
The value of information lies in its ability to reduce uncertainty.
信息的价值在于其减少不确定性的能力。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers.
一个好的决策是基于知识而非数字。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
Optimization is the art of making the best possible decision under given constraints.
优化是在给定约束条件下做出最佳决策的艺术。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
Risk management is not about eliminating risk but about understanding and managing it effectively.
风险管理不是消除风险,而是有效地理解和管理风险。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格
The essence of decision analysis is to decompose complex problems into simpler, more manageable components.
决策分析的本质是将复杂问题分解为更简单、更易管理的组成部分。
大卫·G·卢恩伯格