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罗纳德·A·霍华德
决策分析与风险管理领域的先驱
斯坦福大学运筹学教授,以决策分析和风险管理领域的开创性工作闻名,对现代决策理论有重要贡献。
Risk is the possibility of an outcome that is different from the one you expect.
风险是与预期结果不同的可能性。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
The quality of a decision is not measured by its outcome but by the process used to make it.
决策的质量不是由其结果来衡量,而是由做出决策的过程来衡量。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
Decision analysis is the discipline of evaluating complex alternatives in terms of values and uncertainties.
决策分析是根据价值和不确定性评估复杂选择的学科。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
Risk is the possibility of loss, and uncertainty is the lack of certainty.
风险是损失的可能性,而不确定性是缺乏确定性。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
The quality of a decision is not measured by the outcome but by the process used to make it.
决策的质量不是由结果来衡量,而是由做出决策的过程来衡量。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
A decision is the action you take when you have the power to take it.
当你有能力采取行动时,你所采取的行动就是一个决定。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
Uncertainty is the only certainty there is, and knowing how to live with insecurity is the only security.
不确定性是唯一确定的事情,知道如何与不安全感共存是唯一的安全感。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
The quality of a decision is not measured by the outcome, but by the process used to make it.
决策的质量不是由结果来衡量,而是由做出决策的过程来衡量。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
Risk management is not about avoiding risk, but about understanding and managing it.
风险管理不是关于避免风险,而是关于理解和管理风险。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
The best way to predict the future is to create it.
预测未来的最好方法就是创造未来。
罗纳德·A·霍华德
A decision is the action you take when you have all the information you need to make it.
当你有足够的信息来做决定时,你所采取的行动就是决策。
罗纳德·A·霍华德