People predict by making up stories.
人们通过编造故事来预测未来。
当人们最确信自己并充满傲慢时,通常最容易犯错误,情感主导了他们的判断,没有经过恰当的审慎,而只有审慎才能使他们远离最荒谬的错误。
A story is never finished; it only stops.
A writer is someone who pays attention to the world.