The best predictions come not from complex models, but from understanding fundamental incentives.
最好的预测不是来自复杂模型,而是来自对基本激励的理解。
没有洞察的数据只是噪音。
The only thing that makes life possible is permanent, intolerable uncertainty; not knowing what comes next.
在深冬里,我终于明白,我内心有一个不可战胜的夏天。