We search through historical data looking for anomalous patterns that we would not expect to occur at random. Our scheme is to analyze data and markets to test for statistical significance and consistency over time. Once we find one, we test it for statistical significance and consistency over time. After we determine its validity, weask, ‘Does this correspond to some aspect of behavior that seems reasonable?’
I believe in positive thinking and visualization.
To understand a culture, you must listen to its artists—they are the seismographs of societal change.
历史研究不仅关乎过去,也关乎理解现在和预见未来。