一群猪共有128000只,分别来自全世界各农场举行丢铜板比赛,投出正面的晋级,投出反面的淘汰,经过九回合后,只剩下250只猪晋级,有人认为那250只猪只是运气好而已。如果你发现晋级的250只猪有200只全是某农场来的,那你就必须问:那个农场喂猪的饲料有没有特别之处?
有人质疑巴菲特的投资策略只是运气好而已,他讲了一个有关机率的故事回答它们
Who has deveiv'd thee so oft as thy self?
The best ingredients are the foundation of exceptional baked goods.
I don't write to be remembered, I write to be forgotten.
The past is always constructed from the present.
真相很少是纯粹的,也从不简单。