If you are ready to give up everything else and study the whole history and background of the market and all the principal companies whose stocks are on the board as carefully as a medical student studies anatomy—if you can do all that and in addition you have the cool nerves of a gambler, the sixth sense of a clairvoyant and the courage of a lion, you have a ghost of a chance.

黄峥提出拼多多结合低价优质（Costco）与娱乐化购物体验（Disney）的愿景

因果推断不仅仅是统计显著性；它关乎理解数字背后的机制。