「The probability of any event is the ratio between the value at which an expectation depending on the happening of the event ought to be computed, and the value of the thing expected upon its happening.」- 托马斯·贝叶斯经典语录

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The probability of any event is the ratio between the value at which an expectation depending on the happening of the event ought to be computed, and the value of the thing expected upon its happening.

托马斯·贝叶斯 托马斯·贝叶斯
💡 解读： 任何事件的概率是依赖于该事件发生的期望值与事件发生时预期值之间的比率。
👤 更多 托马斯·贝叶斯 经典语录 2句
It is possible to form a general rule for the estimation of probabilities of future events from the observation of past events.
托马斯·贝叶斯 托马斯·贝叶斯
The mind of man is so formed that it is capable of forming a judgment of the probability of events.
托马斯·贝叶斯 托马斯·贝叶斯
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但是在这里，真正属于我的世界只有脚下的小路那么宽。我一步也不会离开这条路。我从不曾需要多么宽阔的通道，能侧身而过就足够了。像鸟在天空侧身飞翔，鱼在大海里侧身遨游，我从来不曾渴望过全部的世界。我只是经过这个世界，去向的一个小小的所在。我只依赖熟知的事物而生活，我心有牵挂，不想迷路，不想回不了家。我在山野里，游荡在节制之中。但已经感到足够的自由。
李娟 李娟
但愿同入梦。
琼瑶 琼瑶
悲伤就是知识
拜伦 拜伦
表面看起来糟糕的事，本质上却往往并非如此。
塞涅卡 塞涅卡
我绝不坚信这个时代没有放之四海而皆准的正义和良善的价值观，它们不仅仅有，而且不是朝令夕改流动无常的，它们是稳定而永恒的。
亚历山大·索尔仁尼琴 亚历山大·索尔仁尼琴
我们根本没想到要怀疑或轻视“历史的启示”；历史就是我们的一切。
恩格斯 恩格斯
奇花与丽日争妍，翠竹共青天斗碧。
吴承恩 吴承恩
大家礼义教子弟，小家凶恶训儿郎。
周希陶 周希陶
人人为我，我为人人。
列宁 列宁
真理就是自由人的祖国。真理不存在于丑化了的现实里。生命的第一个行动就是创造的行动。在争论中是不分高贵卑鄙，也不管称号姓氏的，重要的只是真理，在它面前人人平等。
罗曼·罗兰 罗曼·罗兰
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We are not just the products of our genes, but the architects of our own experience.
乔治·米勒 乔治·米勒
认知心理学奠基人之一
The interpretation of dreams is the royal road to a knowledge of the unconscious activities of the mind.
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精神分析学派创始人
The good life consists in deriving happiness by using your signature strengths every day in the main realms of living.
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积极心理学创始人
Optimism is invaluable for the meaningful life. With a firm belief in a positive future, you can throw yourself into the service of that which is larger than you are.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
Happiness is not the result of good fortune or external events, but of the way we interpret those events.
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积极心理学创始人
The best moments in our lives are not the passive, receptive, relaxing times… The best moments usually occur if a person’s body or mind is stretched to its limits in a voluntary effort to accomplish something difficult and worthwhile.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
Positive psychology is not just about smiling; it is about the scientific study of what makes life worth living.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
The skills of becoming happy turn out to be almost entirely different from the skills of not being sad.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
Meaning comes from belonging to and serving something beyond yourself and from developing the best within you.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
Optimism is a tool with which you can accomplish the goals you have set for yourself.
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积极心理学创始人
Happiness is not the belief that we don’t need to change; it is the realization that we can.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
Positive psychology is not a luxury; it is a necessity for a life well-lived.
马丁·塞利格曼 马丁·塞利格曼
积极心理学创始人
The best causes tend to attract the worst advocates.
罗纳德·费希尔 罗纳德·费希尔
现代统计学的奠基人之一
Natural selection is a mechanism for generating an exceedingly high degree of improbability.
罗纳德·费希尔 罗纳德·费希尔
现代统计学的奠基人之一
The statistician cannot evade the responsibility for understanding the process he applies or recommends.
罗纳德·费希尔 罗纳德·费希尔
现代统计学的奠基人之一
The more highly adapted an organism becomes, the less adaptable it tends to be.
罗纳德·费希尔 罗纳德·费希尔
现代统计学的奠基人之一
To consult the statistician after an experiment is finished is often merely to ask him to conduct a post mortem examination. He can perhaps say what the experiment died of.
罗纳德·费希尔 罗纳德·费希尔
现代统计学的奠基人之一
The statistician cannot excuse himself from the duty of getting his head clear on the principles of scientific inference, but equally no other thinking person can avoid a like obligation.
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现代统计学的奠基人之一
The best causes tend to attract to their support the worst arguments, which seems to be equally true in the intellectual and in the moral sense.
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现代统计学的奠基人之一
The statistician cannot excuse himself from the duty of getting his head clear on the principles of scientific inference, but equally no other thinking man can avoid a like obligation.
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现代统计学的奠基人之一
It is possible to form a general rule for the estimation of probabilities of future events from the observation of past events.
托马斯·贝叶斯 托马斯·贝叶斯
提出贝叶斯定理的现代形式
The mind of man is so formed that it is capable of forming a judgment of the probability of events.
托马斯·贝叶斯 托马斯·贝叶斯
提出贝叶斯定理的现代形式
The greater the number of individuals observed, the more do individual peculiarities, whether physical or moral, become effaced, and allow the general facts to predominate, by which society exists and is preserved.
阿道夫·凯特勒 阿道夫·凯特勒
现代统计学的先驱
Statistics are the torch-bearers of civilization, the true measure of progress.
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Statistics are the torch-bearers of truth, illuminating the path of progress.
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Statistics are the most important weapons in the arsenal of the modern statesman.
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The scientific method is one and indivisible, and the method of science is applicable to social as well as to physical problems.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
提出皮尔逊相关系数，影响深远
Statistics is the grammar of science.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
提出皮尔逊相关系数，影响深远
The unity of all science consists alone in its method, not in its material.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
提出皮尔逊相关系数，影响深远
The mathematician, carried along on his flood of symbols, dealing apparently with purely formal truths, may still reach results of endless importance for our description of the physical universe.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
提出皮尔逊相关系数，影响深远
The classification of facts and the recognition of their sequence and relative significance is the function of science.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
提出皮尔逊相关系数，影响深远
The scientific method is one and indivisible, and the method of the sciences which deal with living matter is identical with that of the sciences which deal with inorganic matter.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
提出皮尔逊相关系数，影响深远
The classification of facts and the formation of absolute judgments upon the basis of this classification—judgments independent of the idiosyncrasies of the individual mind—essentially sum up the aim and method of modern science.
卡尔·皮尔逊 卡尔·皮尔逊
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The theory of probability as a mathematical discipline can and should be developed from axioms in exactly the same way as Geometry and Algebra.
安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫 安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫
现代概率论奠基人
Every mathematician believes that he is ahead of the others. The reason none state this belief in public is because they are intelligent people.
安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫 安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫
现代概率论奠基人
In mathematics, we do not understand things. We just get used to them.
安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫 安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫
现代概率论奠基人
The value of a problem is not so much in coming up with the answer as in the ideas and attempted ideas it forces on the would-be solver.
安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫 安德雷·柯尔莫哥洛夫
现代概率论奠基人
The theory of functions of a real variable is a powerful tool for the study of fundamental problems in natural science.
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现代概率论奠基人
The aim of science is, on the one hand, a comprehension, as complete as possible, of the connection between the sense experiences in their totality, and, on the other hand, the accomplishment of this aim by the use of a minimum of primary concepts and relations.
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The value of a problem is not so much coming up with the answer as in the ideas and attempted ideas it forces on the would-be solver.
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现代概率论奠基人
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